Stanley Cup Odds
Playoff Predictions
Monte Carlo simulation of the NHL season and playoffs. Based on 2,000 simulations using current standings.
Cup Favorites
1
19.2%
COL
Colorado Avalanche
2
17.3%
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
11.2%
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4
7.4%
UTA
Utah Mammoth
5
7.3%
DAL
Dallas Stars
Full Odds by Conference
Eastern Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | >99% | 73.3% | 48.5% | 30.4% | 17.3% |
| CAR | 99.4% | 65.1% | 38.4% | 20.9% | 11.2% |
| BUF | 90.1% | 50.5% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| PIT | 90.8% | 47.8% | 23.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| BOS | 72.2% | 32.3% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| DET | 89.2% | 40.6% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 3% |
| MTL | 77.6% | 31.8% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| WSH | 32% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYI | 46.7% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| PHI | 34.1% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TOR | 24.4% | 8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| NJD | 11.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| FLA | 14.8% | 3.5% | 1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| OTT | 8.8% | 1.9% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| CBJ | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| NYR | 0.1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Western Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | >99% | 80% | 52.4% | 33.9% | 19.2% |
| UTA | 97% | 53.5% | 30.5% | 16% | 7.4% |
| DAL | 99.8% | 64.7% | 31.3% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| VGK | 99.5% | 52.5% | 28.6% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
| MIN | 99.5% | 58.5% | 25.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% |
| EDM | 81.2% | 34% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| ANA | 69.6% | 21.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| LAK | 41% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| SJS | 46.9% | 12% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| SEA | 30.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| WPG | 12.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| CHI | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| NSH | 12.2% | 2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | <1% |
| CGY | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | <1% | <1% |
| STL | 0.2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VAN | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
R1 = Make PlayoffsR2 = Win First RoundCF = Conference FinalsSCF = Stanley Cup FinalsCup = Win Stanley Cup